GM #15: Winnipeg Jets @ Anaheim Ducks
The Winnipeg Jets have faced difficulties on their West Coast road trip, losing their first two games to the LA Kings and San Jose Sharks while managing to score only once. As a result, their record has fallen to 9-5-0 at the start of the 2025–26 NHL season.
Injuries have disrupted head coach Scott Arniel’s plans from the very beginning, and the team has not matched the level of play that earned them the President’s Trophy last season. Although the current record isn't disastrous (18 points compared to 26 points at the same time last year), expectations for another 13-1-0 start were always low.
However, underlying analytics paint a less optimistic picture, particularly at five-on-five play—a crucial statistic that often reveals true playoff potential. After reviewing the data, some key comparisons stand out between this season and the last.
Season Comparison Overview
- Goals For category: The Jets have dropped six spots in league rankings.
- Projected five-on-five goals: 164 this season compared to 170 last year.
- Goals For per Game: nearly identical to last season despite ranking drop.
“The underlying data is not very encouraging, especially when I dig into the numbers for 5 on 5 play (a key area that often reflects how successful a club will be in the playoffs).”
Analysis Summary
The Jets remain competitive but appear less dominant than last year. Improving even-strength play will be crucial if they hope to replicate last season’s success.
Author’s summary: Winnipeg’s slow offensive start and weaker five-on-five metrics hint at regression, though the team still holds a solid overall record early in the 2025–26 campaign.